Our main concern in this article has to do with the relationship of a pressure system to its surroundings. Air pressure can be measured (atm, hectopascal, millibar) but the relative difference between ...

When it comes reading forecast graphs, swell period is definitely the magic number. Indeed, for a forecaster, explaining the implications of swell period is a bit like the birds and the bees – of ...

Abstract: Bayesian inference provides a methodology for parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification in machine learning and deep learning methods. Variational inference and Markov Chain ...

Will the world still need economists in 2030? With skin in the game, we certainly hope so — but artificial intelligence is already transforming economic analysis. In our own work — and in a review of ...

Iowans may feel like the autumn season has been a warm one, but tempertures are finally starting to dip. The second to last week in October is seeing temperatures in the 60s to mid 50s during the day, ...

Every three months, participants in the Metaculus forecasting cup try to predict the future for a prize pot of about $5,000. Metaculus, a forecasting platform, poses questions of geopolitical ...

In forecasting economic time series, statistical models often need to be complemented with a process to impose various constraints in a smooth manner. Systematically imposing constraints and retaining ...

Neil Jacobs, President Trump's nominee to lead NOAA, faced a Senate committee confirmation hearing following the deadly Central Texas floods that killed over 100 people. Senator Ted Cruz emphasized ...